Source: AMFI
The timing lines up with a period of flat, volatile markets, which points to investors reacting to a rough patch rather than to any real shift in why they started saving in the first place. Roughly 68% of all SIP AUM in India currently sits in accounts under five years old. Even in regular plans, guided by a Mutual Fund Distributor (MFD), only about 35% of AUM survives past five years. In direct plans it drops to roughly 21%. Most rupees invested through an SIP, in other words, never make it far enough to see the benefit an SIP is meant to deliver.
Source: AMFI, Data as of June 2026
The Risk Numbers, by Holding Period
BSE Sensex rolling returns, January 2001 to December 2025, put this on paper:
| Holding Period | No. of Observations | Avg Return | Max Return | Min Return | Prob. of Loss | Returns > 10% |
| 1 Year | 8,766 | 16.72% | 110.38% | -56.26% | 20.61% | 57.56% |
| 3 Years | 8,036 | 15.42% | 62.30% | -8.82% | 2.69% | 64.88% |
| 5 Years | 7,305 | 14.76% | 47.26% | -1.60% | 1.18% | 72.48% |
| 7 Years | 6,575 | 13.28% | 29.38% | 3.69% | 0.00% | 71.07% |
| 10 Years | 5,479 | 12.60% | 21.20% | 4.06% | 0.00% | 72.53% |
| 12 Years | 4,748 | 12.63% | 20.83% | 4.63% | 0.00% | 78.77% |
| 15 Years | 3,653 | 12.56% | 18.07% | 7.28% | 0.00% | 84.83% |
| 20 Years | 1,826 | 14.42% | 16.98% | 11.62% | 0.00% | 100.00% |
Source: BSE, Jan 2001 – Dec 2025 | 25 years I SIP of Rs. 10,000/- and every year lump sum in highest and lowest value Rs. 1,20,000/-
| Holding Period | Invested | Estimated Value |
| 5 Years | Rs. 6.00 Lakh | Rs. 8.11 Lakh |
| 10 Years | Rs. 12.00 Lakh | Rs. 22.40 Lakh |
| 15 Years | Rs. 18.00 Lakh | Rs. 47.59 Lakh |
| 20 Years | Rs. 24.00 Lakh | Rs. 91.99 Lakh |
Between year 10 and year 20, the invested amount just doubles, going from Rs. 12 lakh to Rs. 24 lakh. The estimated value grows over four times, crossing close to Rs. 91 lakh. This is the same stretch where loss probability had already hit zero. So the choice isn't really between safety and growth. Holding on longer tends to hand you both.
Before acting on a rough patch, it's worth pausing and talking to an MFD. A quick conversation can help separate a genuine change in circumstance from ordinary market noise, and often that's the difference between staying the course and giving up right before the numbers were about to turn.
The information contained herein is only for information and does not constitute, and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or otherwise transact in any security or investment product or an invitation, offer or solicitation to engage in any investment activity. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme-related documents carefully.





