Geopolitical Tensions: A Cloud Over the Investment Horizon
Geopolitical Tensions: A Cloud Over the Investment Horizon
Geopolitical tensions-whether they stem from military conflicts, trade wars, or political instability-are a recurring feature of the global landscape. In the complex landscape of global economics, the effects of geopolitical tensions and international events are strongly felt in the stock market. These external factors play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, influencing investor behavior, and, in turn, determining the direction of stock prices.
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Here are a few strategies that equity investors can consider for managing geopolitical risk.
Spread your investments across various asset classes, sectors and geographic regions to reduce the risk that a geopolitical event will significantly impact your portfolio.
When markets experience a downturn, it can be tempting to panic and sell off your investments. However, a more strategic approach is to rebalance your portfolio. As market values fluctuate, your portfolio's asset allocation can drift from your original plan. Rebalancing brings it back in line. Rebalancing encourages a disciplined approach to investing, helping you stick to your long-term plan.
While geopolitical events can cause short-term volatility, they don't always lead to prolonged bear markets or fundamental shifts in the economy. For example, historical data shows that despite wars, sanctions, and other geopolitical upheavals, equity markets have, on average, continued their upward trajectory over time.
Year Event No. of Days Fall Fall % No. of Days for Recovery Gain %
1991 Gulf War / India Fin Crisis 108 -38.69 182 67.34
1994-96 Reliance, FII 814 -40.72 952 71.59
2000-01 Tech Bubble 588 -56.18 833 131.78
2006 FII Selloff 36 -24.32 120 33.43
2008-09 Global Financial Crisis 426 -60.91 605 156.04
2015-16 China Slowdown 378 -22.67 417 30.32
2020 Covid -19 Crisis 70 -38.06 231 65.34
Despite above corrections, in the period from Jan 1991 - Dec 2020 Sensex still delivered 13.75% CAGR.
Source: BSE India
Investors should not panic at the time of market correction but take this as an opportunity to invest more. By investing more when prices are low, investors can benefit from value averaging which helps in mitigating the impact of market fluctuations.
Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and understand their potential impact on their portfolios. However, reacting impulsively to headlines can often lead to buying high during a market rally or selling low during a panic.
During geopolitical storms, it's easy to succumb to fear and make impulsive decisions. Financial advisors have the knowledge and experience to navigate complex market conditions. They can offer emotional support and help you stay calm and focused on your long-term needs.
Final Thoughts

Geopolitical tensions are an inherent part of investing in global equity markets. However, worrying excessively may lead to emotional decision-making that could hurt your long-term investment needs. The key is to balance awareness of geopolitical risks with a well-thought-out investment strategy.

As an equity investor, it's crucial to stay diversified, focus on long-term trends, and maintain a risk management strategy that accounts for possible geopolitical disruptions. While no one can predict when or where the next geopolitical crisis will emerge, understanding the risks and preparing your portfolio accordingly can help you stay the course and weather the storm-whatever may come.
NJ E-wealth
Do-It-Yourself Investing: A Risky Endeavor?
Do-It-Yourself Investing: A Risky Endeavor?
Do-It-Yourself (DIY) investing has gained significant popularity in recent years, with more and more individuals taking control of their financial future. While it can be empowering to manage your own investments, it's essential to weigh the risks and rewards carefully.
  • Control: You have complete control over your investment decisions.
  • Potential for Higher Returns: With active management, DIY investors can potentially achieve higher returns by taking advantage of market inefficiencies or undervalued assets.
  • Lower Costs: DIY investing eliminates management fees and commissions typically charged by financial advisors.
  • Learning Opportunity: DIY investing can be a great way to learn about financial markets, investment strategies, and personal finance, helping individuals become more financially literate.
Before embarking on your DIY investing journey, consider the following factors:
  • Time Commitment: Successful investing requires significant time and effort to research, analyze, and monitor investments. Do you have the time and energy to dedicate to research and analysis?
  • Emotional Decision-Making: Emotional biases can cloud judgment, leading to impulsive decisions. Can you remain calm and rational during market fluctuations?
  • Opportunity Cost: Time spent on DIY investing might be better spent on other endeavors, such as career advancement or personal interests. A solid understanding of financial concepts, market trends, and investment strategies is crucial. Do you possess the necessary financial knowledge and skills to make informed decisions?
  • Diversification Risks: Without a well-thought-out strategy, DIY investors might inadvertently concentrate their portfolios, increasing risk. Can you diversify your portfolio without expert advice?
  • Regulatory Knowledge: Navigating investment regulations and tax implications can be complex, and DIY investors may overlook important compliance issues.
  • Opportunity Cost: Time spent on DIY investing might be better spent on other endeavors, such as career advancement or personal interests.
If you're unsure about your ability to manage your investments effectively, consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor.
A Financial advisor plays a pivotal role in the investment journey of an individual. They act as a bridge between the investor and the investment products, guiding and assisting investors in making informed decisions.
Here are the key roles and responsibilities of an advisor:
  • Need Identification of investor : Every investor has unique financial needs. Advisors assess an investor's current financial situation-such as income, expenses, assets, and liabilities-to gain insight into their overall financial health. They assist investors in clarifying their financial objectives, whether related to retirement, education, buying a home, or other significant life events. Once these needs are identified, advisors help prioritize them and estimate the necessary investment amounts.
  • Ascertain right Asset Allocation : Advisors tailor investment strategies to each investor's unique needs. By assessing an investor's risk tolerance, financial needs, and time horizon, advisors can construct a diversified portfolio that balances risk and reward. This involves carefully allocating assets across various asset classes, such as mutual funds, stocks, bonds, etc. to optimize returns while minimizing risk.
  • Hand hold investors in volatility, so that they don't diverge from their Asset Allocation: The financial market can feel like a roller coaster, with unpredictable ups and downs. In times of economic turbulence, emotions like fear and greed can cloud investors' judgment. Navigating market fluctuations can be challenging without guidance. Financial advisors help investors transform market chaos into opportunities for long-term growth. During volatile periods, a rational advisor serves as an anchor, ensuring that clients stay focused on their financial objectives.
  • Maintaining Detailed Records and Adhering to Regulations: Advisors meticulously maintain detailed records of all client interactions, transactions, and investment decisions. This ensures transparency, accountability, and compliance with industry regulations. By adhering to strict regulatory guidelines, advisors protect the interests of their clients and maintain the highest standards of professional conduct.
  • Beyond Short-Term Performance: While past performance can be a useful indicator, it's crucial to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. Focusing solely on short-term fluctuations can distract investors from their long-term objectives. A more sustainable approach is to adopt a long-term perspective and prioritize a well-diversified portfolio that aligns with your risk tolerance and financial objectives.
  • Portfolio Review and Rebalancing: Market conditions are constantly evolving, and it's essential to regularly review and rebalance your investment portfolio. Advisors play a crucial role in monitoring market trends, assessing portfolio performance, and making necessary adjustments to ensure that your investments remain aligned with your financial needs. Investors stay informed from regular reports and insights from advisors amidst market shifts.
Maintain a balanced perspective and avoid letting fear dictate your investment decisions.
Ultimately, the decision to pursue DIY investing is a personal one. It's important to weigh the potential benefits and risks carefully and choose the approach that best aligns with your financial needs and risk tolerance.
NJ E-wealth
Shield Your Loved Ones With Adequate Life Insurance
Shield Your Loved Ones With Adequate Life Insurance
The COVID-19 pandemic served as a stark wake-up call, highlighting the significance of life insurance within a robust financial plan. The demand for term life insurance, offering the most coverage at the most affordable cost, surged in the wake of the crisis. But simply acquiring life insurance isn't enough. The key lies in securing adequate coverage to safeguard your family's financial well-being in your absence.
Traditionally, income dictated life insurance needs. However, the HLV method takes a more comprehensive approach. It factors in your future earning potential, current expenses, existing debts, and investments to determine your total financial value to your family. This method ensures your coverage reflects not just your current income but also your projected future earning capacity.
The Income Replacement method focuses on replacing lost income. To calculate your required coverage, multiply your current annual income by the number of years remaining until your retirement. This approach is simple but might overshoot your needs if future income growth is factored in.
Financial planners endorse the Expense Replacement method. Here, you calculate your family's ongoing expenses, future goals like child education, and potential support for dependents. Subtract your existing investments and current life insurance from this total. The resulting figure represents the additional coverage you require. This method provides a more holistic view of your family's financial requirements.
A common industry practice suggests a sum assured 10-15 times your annual income. While it offers a starting point, financial advisors recommend a minimum of 12-15 times your annual expenses, taking future inflation into account.
As your life progresses, your financial needs will evolve. Marriage, children, or career advancements can increase your HLV. Regularly reviewing your coverage ensures it remains adequate. Many policies offer "cover enhancement" options to increase your sum assured at key life stages, but remember this might also raise your premiums.
Don't get caught up in the minimum coverage trap. Compare plans and premiums based on your specific needs. Consider seeking professional guidance to determine the policy type and coverage amount that best suits your budget and your family's financial well-being. Invest in peace of mind by ensuring your loved ones are financially secure, no matter what life throws their way.
loans
In compliance with the Know Your Customer (KYC) Guidelines issued by the RBI, NJ Capital has introduced a Video-based Customer Identification Process (V-CIP) for KYC at the time of processing loan applications.

This change is aimed at improving security, making the KYC process more efficient, and reducing fraud risk. It is designed to be seamless and user-friendly, enabling customers to complete the verification from the comfort of their places.

Consequently, w.e.f. 01 July 2024, all customers applying for a loan will need to mandatorily complete a Video Customer Identification Process (V-CIP) before the loan disbursement.

During the KYC process, NJC representatives will assist the customers to ensure a seamless V-CIP.

Prerequisites for V-CIP
  • A stable internet connection
  • A smartphone or computer with a webcam and proper audio connections
  • Original PAN Card of all holders
  • For optimal call quality, situated in a quiet environment with a white or light background and ample lighting.
Please find the V-CIP Guide.
Fund Manager INTERVIEW
patner Interview
Mr. Neelesh Surana
Chief Investment Officer (CIO) - Equity, Mirae Asset Investment Managers (India) Pvt. Ltd.
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Shrimukh Associates (ARN-83630)
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Shrimukh Associates

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  • portfolio management services (pms)
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"We have taken due care and caution in compilation of this E Newsletter. The information has been obtained from various reliable sources. However it does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions of the results obtained from the use of such information. Investors should seek proper financial advise regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of the schemes stated, discussed or recommended in this newsletter and should realise that the statements regarding future prospects November or November not realise. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks. Please read the offer document carefully before investing. Past performance is for indicative purpose only and is not necessarily a guide to the future performance."

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